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On the roster: Storm Warning: Q Poll shows Trump down 10 - Hillary hammers Trump on white nationalism - Power Play: Trump tries a do-over on deportation - Audible: A fool’s errand? - Maybe she was just a big Mario Bros. fan
STORM WARNING: Q POLL SHOWS TRUMP DOWN 10
If you want to know why Donald Trump has been throwing haymakers lately – calling Hillary Clinton “a bigot” and opening a path for illegal immigrants to remain in the country – you have your answer.
The first worthwhile national poll in more than a week is out and the trajectory of the race after the conventions seems to have intensified.
In the Quinnipiac University poll out this afternoon, Trump now trails Clinton by 10 points in a head-to-head matchup and by 7 points in a four-way race with the Libertarian and Green Party nominees included.
For the first time in the poll, Clinton is over 50 percent in a head-to-head matchup and Trump is essentially unchanged from the school’s June poll at 41 percent.
Now, you can feel free to not make too much of any individual poll. But before any Trump enthusiasts pitch this one, remember a few things: It is from one of the best pollsters, one that was right on the money in forecasting Trump’s primary wins; it is in line with other top-notch pollsters’ findings from earlier this month; and it includes a likely voter screen.
It’s getting serious.
What we like so much about the Q poll is all of the nitty-gritty data the pollsters provide.
So depending on whom you’re rooting for this fall, here’s either the good or bad news:
- By a margin of 59 percent to 36 percent, respondents said “the way Donald Trump talks appeals to bigotry.”
- Clinton is winning with women by 24 points while Trump is winning among men by 6 points.
- Trump gets only 52 percent of white voters, 7 points worse than Mitt Romney’s final tally in 2016. Trump also lags Romney and other prior Republican nominees among non-white voters, gaining just 15 percent support.
- In another election, Clinton would be in bad shape with just 44 percent of voters saying they like her at all, but Trump actually fares 9 points worse on likability.
- Seventy-four percent of respondents say that Trump should release his tax returns.
- And in a good metric for the relative levels of voter loyalty, “64 percent of Trump supporters say they are voting mainly anti-Clinton, while 25 percent say they are voting pro-Trump. Among Clinton supporters, 47 percent are mainly anti-Trump while 32 percent are pro-Clinton.”
This all adds up to a moment for Trump and the Republicans to radically reconsider what they’re doing. No modern candidate trailing by so much with less than 11 weeks to go has ever won the presidency.
Trump is obviously aware of his situation, as he is shaking things up in his campaign, shifting his style and revamping core policies. But perhaps the most ominous number for his candidacy: 90 percent of respondents say their minds are firmly made up.
TIME OUT: OUT OF THIS WORLD PROFITS
There is a lot of buzz about the discovery of a potential cousin to Earth in a nearby solar system – and by nearby, astronomers mean 26 trillion miles. But the biggest news may be much closer to home. NASA’s Sept. 8 mission to an asteroid called Bennu is not just exciting space enthusiasts, but also potentially opening up a new industry. New Republic: “Asteroid mining hasn’t even begun, and it’s already being privatized: Several for-profit companies are currently jockeying for position in the fledgling industry…The initial goal for both companies is to mine asteroids for water, an essential commodity for long-duration space travel. If humans ever travel into deep space—to Mars, for example—we will need water for life support and fuel. But it’s prohibitively expensive to take all of the necessary water supplies with us from Earth. A company that can develop the technology to find and extract water from an asteroid could set up the H2O equivalent of a gas station in outer space—a potential gold mine.”
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Average of national head-to-head presidential polls: Clinton vs. Trump: Clinton +9.6 points
Average of national four-way presidential polls: Clinton vs. Trump vs. Johnson vs. Stein: Clinton +7.2 points
Generic congressional vote: Democrats +4.2
HILLARY HAMMERS TRUMP ON WHITE NATIONALISM
NYT: “Hillary Clinton plans to deliver a major address on Thursday denouncing Donald J. Trump’s embrace of the ‘alt-right’ political philosophy, presenting his choice as an especially ominous turn in a presidential election full of them. The speech, at a community college in Reno, Nev., will come one week after Mr. Trump named Stephen K. Bannon, the executive chairman of Breitbart News, as his campaign chief. Mr. Bannon has eagerly described the site as ‘the platform for the alt-right’ — a loosely defined and contested term often associated with white nationalist and anti-immigrant sentiment. Accordingly, one of Mrs. Clinton’s challenges will be explaining the ‘alt-right’ to a national audience that may have little familiarity with it. Her campaign has accused the ideology’s proponents of ‘embracing extremism and presenting a divisive and dystopian view of America.’”
And on that note… - Clinton’s team